In producing countries continue to 2015 follow the minimum purchase price policy for wheat, conducive to the stable grain farmers earnings forecasts, but limited arable land and water resources, land circulation process, such as economic development, some producing wheat planting area showed a trend of falling slightly and comprehensive investigation of the parties, is expected to national winter wheat planting area of 339 million mu. Because most of the good weather during wheat growth, total wheat production in 2015 is expected to increase slightly, preliminary estimates 2015 wheat output is about 2015 catties. Since the end of may to early June listed part of producing, wet weather during wheat harvest, part of the wheat quality by impact. Especially in many parts of jiangsu, anhui, hubei and henan higher percentage of the admixture in the south.
2015/16 for domestic consumption of wheat is expected to remain stable. Among them, the ration demand with the increase of population continue to increase rigidity, but growth slowed further; In breeding industry is still weak, corn stock levels higher factor influence, replace corn to feed the advantage of falling wheat, wheat forage consumption within the year is expected to decline. The overall look, is expected to domestic consumption of wheat is about 2015/16 229.7 billion catties.
Although late is expected to import wheat still have price advantage, but in the current international political and economic situation and the import and export policy influence, is expected to 2015/16 Chinese commercial wheat import quantity is limited, is expected to 4 billion catties.
Comprehensive is expected, as a result of 2015/16 feed wheat population decline, new balance between supply and demand of about 4.5 billion jins, wheat supply and demand relations continue to improve.
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